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The last HMV exclusive was MW 2 prestige edition and that never dropped from what I saw. Even after the hype it goes for more than rrp on eBay. It's annoying as of late a lot of CE's are costing far to much.
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Yeah - MW 1 Prestige Edition never came down in price, I do remember Aliens vs Preadators Hunter Edition and Ninja Gaiden 2 stigma Collector's Edition falling in price 6 weeks after release, I think they were HMV exclusives.
I guess it depends on how many them make, They should have learned from the last Killzone Collector's Edition that over producing is a waste if time.